When I first started investing in the stockmarket I was extremely naive. The first thing I did was a search for the share funds that had given the highest return over the past few years. (What is it they say as a warning on many investments – past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance or similar – I really was naive). Of course that was an actively managed fund. I have now changed my opinion and where possible only buy passive index tracking investments in my retirement investing low charge portfolio in vehicles like Exchange Traded Funds (ETF’s). I won’t go into the justification for passive versus active in this post today as there is plenty of information out there on the web already. A Google search of ‘passive versus active investing’ or ‘Bogle investing’ would be a good start for those that are interested.
Wednesday, 2 June 2010
Saturday, 29 May 2010
Gold Priced in British Pounds (GBP) – May 2010 Update
In absolute terms gold continues to climb in value reaching a new high of £839.93 (when compared with my monthly historic dataset which goes back to 1979) since gold started its upward climb in 2005. In the last month gold is up £90.32 an ounce however in real (inflation adjusted) terms as shown in today’s chart gold it is up ‘only’ £83.32 per ounce. In real terms that’s an increase of 11%.
Friday, 28 May 2010
Are the cracks starting to show in the Bank of England’s unspoken strategy
I’ve been suggesting for many months now and most recently here that the Bank of England want inflation which they think they can control. This is so they can allow the large UK government debt and the debts of the reckless general public to be inflated away (effectively a free bailout). Of course somebody has to pay for this and that will be the prudent savers amongst us. Additionally, keeping the Official Bank Rate at historic lows of 0.5% for so long, while allowing the inflation to occur, also helps the banks recapitalise themselves as they proceed to lend money out at rates far above this. Of course savers are again punished as the banks pay below inflation interest rates to the savers. So far (of course in my untrained opinion only) it’s all going to plan for the Bank of England except I saw a couple of cracks beginning to open this week.
Wednesday, 26 May 2010
Gold Priced in US Dollars (USD) – May 2010 Update
Within my Retirement Investing Strategy I currently hold 5.5% (up from 4.1% at the last USD gold update) of my portfolio in gold with a targeted holding of 5%. Gold is the only portion of my portfolio that does not provide a yield (dividends, interest etc).
Sunday, 23 May 2010
Average UK Earnings – May 2010 Update
As we know inflation according to the retail prices index (RPI) year on year is currently running at 5.3%. This is the highest it has been since July 1991. Looking at historic RPI inflation data shows the average year on year RPI annual change since 1991 at 2.9% and the trendline since 1991 shows inflation year on year trending downwards. My chart today shows these RPI figures in blue.
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